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  • 3月 18 週二 200801:08
  • [Music]Break The Ice - Britney Spears

Britney SpearsBreak The Ice
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  • 3月 17 週一 200811:39
  • [轉載]廣東省預測2015年經濟總量可超韓國

廣東省預測2015年經濟總量可超韓國 廣東省經濟總量去年已經超越臺灣
本報產業部記者 金承范 (2008.01.29 15:10)
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  • 3月 14 週五 200815:28
  • [轉載]《全方位投資中國》1億家庭消費力完全引爆

全方位投資中國》1億家庭消費力完全引爆 ( 2007/10/29 18:10 鄭國強 )

狂賺中國

中國富起來後,除了吃得飽更講求營養,衣著要穿名牌趕流行,有房子住還要炒樓投資,名車與珠寶更是有錢人的身分跟品味象徵...聰明的投資人應該掌握機會,讓中國人的每一樣消費,變成你的財富。

保時捷(PORSCHE)進駐古都西安!今年5月底,在西安市未央區錦園新世紀內舉辦盛大的剪綵典禮,向世人宣布世界頂級名車正式在西安設立銷售據點,911、carrera等千萬跑車系列展示,讓早2年進入的賓士、悍馬車相形失色。

經 濟飛速成長,翻轉中國人的消費習慣。「比想像中還要快10年!」這是西安省台商會長孫芳山對中國大陸經濟成長的看法。他回憶,10年前,西安除了秦始皇的 兵馬俑和可口可樂工廠比較著名以外,就剩下泛黃的大地;現在,西安已成為中國內銷市場的重鎮,福特汽車、百威啤酒、百事可樂紛紛進駐。連全球最大百貨連鎖 的沃爾瑪(Wal-Mart)都抵擋不住古都之熱,前往西安設立第87家分店。

西安,是個離海岸1200公里以上的內陸城市,它尚且如此繁華,更何況是上海等沿海地區。

新富階級快速成長

「老 港額!(笨啊)」在上海蛇山高爾夫球場果嶺上,一個上海人正在自我解嘲球技不好;明明比賽轉播中,老虎伍茲就站在同樣的位置成功揮杆,自己卻把小白球打進 了水塘。這裡的人說,在這個會員卡每年要價20萬美金的頂級球場內,以往多聽到日文、韓文、台灣話;現在,最常聽到的是上海話,透露出上海新富階級的成長 速度。

在上海,雖然打高爾夫的人口成長快,但是,還是趕不過開進口車的成長速度。據中國國家統計局數據顯示,至2006年11月為止,全中國進口汽車20餘萬輛,年增率高達41%;其中,成長最快的是3000cc以上車輛,年成長有92%。

單單是今年前2個月,賓士轎車在中國銷售數字就比去年同期增加67%,而賓士S級銷售2230輛,比去年成長了110%;中國,是賓士S級轎車在全球的第2大市場。

國 際車商總裁也得常往中國跑。在大連、上海、北京、重慶、西安等全中國大都市,都有他們的軌跡,常對著中國高官以濃厚的口音的問候「你豪」;因為,現在全世 界買最多車的,除了美國人以外,就是中國人了,中國大陸去年國內銷售汽車高達721萬餘輛,已成為世界第2消費大國,2006年全球每銷售100輛車,就 有11輛在中國市場售出。

龍鳳食品董事長葉惠德說,2年前,出門開一輛積架,在上海街上很少遇到同款車子;現在,上 海人不但開得起雙B,連積架也滿街跑。在上海Levi's牛仔褲公司上班的張婕表示,2006年申請一張車牌要3萬1千元人民幣,今年已經漲破5萬元,而 且,上揚情勢未見緩和跡象,因為,大家怕今年不買,明年更貴。

開好車 吃好菜 喝好酒

「名車會跑,名菜吃飽,好酒醉倒」,這是大陸的順口溜,意思是除了開好車之外,還要吃好菜,喝好酒。

晚上6點,上海的高級房車,不少停在占地有1萬米的上海新天地餐廳,再過去,就是以前法國租界,有著上海洋樓造型的新天地,每餐叫價1000元人民幣以上,是上海奢華風的最佳代表;但是,每晚客戶仍是絡繹不絕地上門。

中國人吃的越來越好是有目共睹。全國最富有前10%的人消費,一年吃掉的蝦子要比全中國平均高出2倍,比最低10%的所得者高出7.7倍。

穿衣服也越來越講究。張婕表示,上海Levi's牛仔褲銷售量在05年成長40%,在去年成長55%。民眾越來越注重穿著,衣服花色越趨鮮豔,不再是過去大家對中國人衣服顏色的印象:黑色、藍色、灰色。

至於高所得群,則展現在精品消費力上。中國人的財富,國際拍賣機構蘇富比早已見識到。在10月,於香港舉行的拍賣會中,將有一顆底標就要5億元台幣的84.5克拉大白鑽拍賣,這是5年來蘇富比拍賣過最貴的鑽石,足見中國地區消費潛力驚人。

另外,從全國數據來看,2005年金銀珠寶銷售額增長13.9%,到了去年更有高達28.5%成長,遠高出食品飲料、菸酒、化妝品及服裝的15.5%~19.2%。

除了名車、美食、錦衣以外,另一個中國財力蘊藏所在,就是房地產。

高檔住宅連漲5年

有土斯有財,是中國人根深柢固的觀念,即使是共產主義之下亦然。自2002年至05年,全國房價銷售指數平均增幅1.6%;然而,2年來在中央政府刻意壓抑之下,衰退居多。比較特別的是,高檔住宅用地價格,是各類房價指數中唯一連漲5年的,似乎對中國政府降溫免疫。

在上海,葉惠德表示,2002年的時候,高級住宅區1平方公尺用4000元人民幣可以買得到,現在已經漲到6萬元,相當於台北市大安、信義區每坪84萬元的價位,最頂級之處還喊到10萬元人民幣,相當於每坪140萬新台幣。

崛起的中國新富階層和外資,共同競逐著房地產。葉惠德說,上海的房價不是上海當地人來決定,而是來自全球的國際企業、投資客、溫州幫等外來人決定。例如台灣來的天福茗茶,為了卡位中國市場,就是不斷買地、買樓拓展分店。

今年,國土資源部再度明確禁止別墅類、高爾夫球場等項目用地批建,在供給更少的預期下,別墅用地價格帶來更大增值潛力。

中國經濟,就像是她的股市一樣,以出乎意料的高速前進。葉惠德回想起2005年大陸股市剛起來的時候,他用每股5元買了大陸中信證券的股票,一下子漲了4倍,就心滿意足獲利了結,誰知道,現在股價已經到106元!

精品市場每年成長21%

對於成長迅速的中國消費力,建弘投信研究部協理王裕豐分析背後動能指出,中國年所得超過100萬人民幣的新富階級,已超過1000萬人,這是主要推力。

此外,京華鑽石董事長柯朝祥則指出,中國還有一群容易被忽略的富豪,低調經營自己的事業,例如他曾接觸過的珍珠飼養商人,平均一個人養1、20池的珍珠,這批人身價每個都有10億元人民幣;這些富豪,潛藏在各行各業。

國際投資機構怎麼看中國市場呢?就精品市場而言,高盛預估,中國在2007至2012年,每年仍有21%的成長;預計在2015年,中國將成為高檔消費品市場最大的消費群。

過去5年,中國經濟以平均每年9.8%速度成長;對於未來5年,曾任世界銀行專家,現任中國建設銀行首席經濟學家華而誠表示,2007年估計經濟成長達11.5%,明年在10.5%至11%之間,未來5年,平均仍會有9.5%以上的成長水準。

成長快速的中國消費,為全球廠商提供商機;雖然,無法直接賺取中國的內需財,但是,你可以藉由投資,跟著中國一起富起來。

如 何靠投資沾光中國?中國人要吃,可以選擇食品題材中的中國收成股;要蓋樓,水泥、鋼鐵題材概念股看俏,長期而言,地價仍然看多,相關地產基金可以留意;新 富階層的奢侈消費,可以藉由精品基金抓住財富機會;最後,中國汽車數量大幅成長,可以投資石油基金,因為全中國幾百萬輛的車子一上路就得用油。

衣食住行外,玩樂也將成為不錯的標的。聰明的投資人應該掌握投資機會,讓中國人的每一分鐘消費,都變成你的財富。

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  • 3月 05 週三 200816:24
  • [轉載]Issue1"Equal but Different"- 1-2Women & Men

resource from: http://www.meaningfullife.com/social/
Women & Men - Different but Equal?
After thousands of years of male dominance, we now stand at the beginning of the feminine era, when women will rise to their appropriate prominence, and the entire world will recognize the harmony between man and woman
-- The Rebbe A couple who was having communication problems came to see the Rebbe. The woman said that her husband was consumed with his work, and that when he finally found time to speak with her, he criticized her and ordered her around. The husband said that his wife had no respect for him and didn’t listen to any of his suggestions.
“Why do you think your wife should listen to you?” the Rebbe asked. “Because a woman must listen to her husband,” he replied.
“But why should a woman listen to her husband?” the Rebbe asked. “Because the man is the master of the house.”
“No,” said the Rebbe. “The first thing that you as a man must follow is the edict that ‘a man should honor his wife more than he does himself.’ And then the righteous woman will have a husband she can respect and love. If the man does not fulfill his role, then it is the woman who must respectfully bring it to his attention.”
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  • 3月 05 週三 200816:19
  • [轉載]Issue1"Equal but Different"- 1-1Art

resource from: http://www.spiked-online.com/Articles/0000000CA4A5.htm
Are the visual arts racist?
Trying to be equal but different
[26-Mar-2004]
Working as a critic in the London art world, it is true that I rarely encounter a black or Asian artist, curator or critic - and certainly no collectors! But we have to consider carefully what we infer by this absence. The art world is not, by and large, particularly representative of broader British society, and if we approach the 'evidence' of racism merely on the basis of the marginal representation of black and Asian practitioners, we could just as easily come to a whole other set of negative conclusions about who the art world represents.

The public art world has indeed 'bent over backwards' over the past decade to encourage representation, participation and inclusion; but such attention is damned if it does and damned if it doesn't include black artists. Black critics of arts policy such as Raimi Gbadamosi accuse multiculturalism of tokenism and containment by an intractably white, conservative middle-class art establishment, while old-fart white conservatives such as David Lee accuse multiculturalism of tokenism and the imposition of politically correct agendas by贰n intractably lefty, bleeding-heart liberal art establishment!

Clearly there is a fantasy art world, which both Gbadamosi and Lee inhabit, and into which each projects their particular political and cultural anxieties, and there is a real art world, in which a complicated, imbalanced mix of people and interests has to face a political culture that assumes that racism is everywhere in British society. Manick Govinda and Gbadamosi are rightly suspicious of how cultural diversity policy continuously emphasises and ingrains the notion of cultural difference in the name of 'celebrating' it. Unfortunately, they fall for the same contradiction that informs the multiculturalism that they seek to criticise, wanting to be equal while wanting to be recognised as different.

But now that 'recognising' and respecting different identities has become the accepted norm in mainstream culture, multiculturalism's demand for recognition takes on a new character. Rather than confronting the false universalism a racist white culture, multiculturalism now imposes an equally false and unchanging notion of cultural difference, in which the possibility of identities forged out of new encounters and experiences between individuals is constantly restricted.

It is the tension, between wanting to be accepted as an equal in an open and liberal art world, while being constantly encouraged to celebrate one's attachment to a specific culture, that is most destructive to the ambitions of black and Asian arts practitioners. After all, if an artist's work is only understandable to people of one cultural group, how can you expect the rest of the art world to engage with it? Art always has to deal with a process of translation and negotiation in the creation of new cultures of meaning, rather than the lifeless reiteration of fixed meanings and the fixed identities that receive them.

If racism is not a common aspect of art world encounters, the policing of difference is. Rather than the endless hand wringing in response to accusations of 'institutional racism' at the level or art institutions, we should be making a more sober appraisal of both the practical and cultural reasons why black and Asian people do not pursue careers in the visual arts today. People tend to forget that art is a career, and entry into the art world is still dominated by some form of formal training. For young people from already less advantaged economic backgrounds, the prospect of an uncertain future in art may mean studying business instead.

But again, if one's initial encounter with the eccentric world of visual art is already viewed through the lens of one's cultural origins, and the overarching apprehension that what happens in contemporary art is 'for white people', it is hard to see how a creative, open and productive engagement can occur.

JJ Charlesworth, UK
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  • 2月 29 週五 200812:33
  • [強力推薦]頂好潤餅捲


資料來源: http://www.wretch.cc/blog/bajenny&article_id=6113440
《食記》板橋裕民街夜市小吃筆記: 頂好潤餅捲 《食記》板橋裕民街夜市小吃筆記
夜市和四維路交叉口的這間頂好潤餅捲(四維路325號)
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  • 個人分類:組織;社團;公司
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  • 2月 25 週一 200810:13
  • [轉載]Politics and work can be volatile mixture


Politics and work can be volatile mixtureAs presidential race heats up, injecting ideology on the job has risksresource from:  http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22900670/  
By Eve TahminciogluMSNBC contributorupdated 1:50 p.m. ET Feb. 4, 2008Robert, a physical therapist from Wilmington, Del., says he doesn’t like to talk about politics at work because sometimes the discussions get “too volatile.” But in the same breath he launches into how interesting the race for the White House is this time around given that an African-American and a woman are running.
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  • 2月 22 週五 200810:54
  • [轉載]渣打:人民幣升值 Q2破7 - from chinatimes

資料來源: http://money.chinatimes.com/newmoney/stat/HotNews_Content.aspx?sid=255792
渣打:人民幣升值 Q2破7

彭媁琳/綜合報導
 在國內通膨壓力和國際美元走貶的影響下,人民幣升值腳步越走越快,兌換美元中間價昨(十九)日,突破七.一六心理關口,達到七.一五七四元人民幣兌換一美元。渣打銀行預測,今年第二季末,人民幣匯率將衝至六字頭的水準。

 自二○○五年七月匯改以來,加計人民銀行的調整幅度,累計人民幣已經升值了一五.四一%。

 渣打銀行經濟師張淑嫻日前指出,人民幣兌換美元匯率,將在今年第二季末,北京奧運前進入「六」字頭的時代,可望在六月底就達到六.九四的水準,全年升值幅度達到九%。摩根士丹利全球研究部門則預測,今年底人民幣匯率將達到六.九五元兌換一美元的水準。

 甚至,也不用等到第二季結束,人民幣匯率就可能升破七.○。人民幣海外無本金遠期交割外匯(NDF),三個月期的報價就達到六.九八二。因此最快在五月份,人民幣匯率就能達到六字頭的水準。

 近期,美元走貶和國內通膨擴大的壓力,是使人民幣頻頻升破歷史價位的主要原因。美國聯準會主席柏南克日前暗示,將繼續降息來刺激美國經濟,致使國際美元價格走貶,堆高了人民幣幣值。

 另外,中國國家統計局昨日發布數據指出,在大雪災的影響下,一月份消費者物價指數(CPI)上漲幅度達到七.一%,是十一年來的新高點。而生產者價格指數(PPI)則較去年同期上升六.一%,創下三年來的新高。

 同時一月份廣義貨幣供給量(M2)較去年同期增加了一八.九四%,是為十九個月以來成長最快的月份。各項經濟數據無不顯示出,中國大陸內部通貨膨漲的壓力與日俱增,尤其是在雪災之後更為明顯。

 就如同過去各界一直呼籲的,中國大陸政府應加速貨幣升值的腳步與幅度,才是徹底改善流動性過剩的最好方法。

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  • 2月 22 週五 200809:47
  • [轉載]Chinese factories losing competitive edge


resource from: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23278830Chinese factories losing competitive edgeCountry losing claim on cheapness as labor and energy costs riseupdated 2:47 p.m. ET Feb. 21, 2008SHANGHAI, China - The teddy bears selling for $1.40 in Shanghai's IKEA store may be just about the cheapest in town, but they're not made in China — they're stitched and stuffed in Indonesia.The fluffy brown toys reflect a new challenge for China: Its huge economy, which has long offered some of the world's lowest manufacturing costs, is losing its claim on cheapness as factories get squeezed by rising prices for energy, materials and labor.Those expenses, plus higher taxes and stricter enforcement of labor and environmental standards, are causing some manufacturers to leave for lower-cost markets such as Vietnam, Indonesia and India.
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  • 2月 20 週三 200811:10
  • [轉載]French investigators looking for a third trader


French investigators looking for a third traderA possible third person linked to $7 billion scandal at Societe Generaleupdated 8:37 a.m. ET Feb. 19, 2008PARIS - Investigators are trying to confirm the existence of a third person with possible links to a $7 billion trading scandal at French bank Societe Generale SA.A trader and a broker who have been the focus of the investigation made multiple references to a mysterious third trader — known simply as Mat — whom investigators have so far been unable to locate, Isabelle Montagne, a spokeswoman for the Paris prosecutors’ office, said Tuesday.Trader Jerome Kerviel has said he was working alone but that his bosses at Societe Generale must have been aware of his massive positions, and turned a blind eye as long as he was making money for the bank.Investigators are searching for others who could have known about, or participated in, what the bank says was Kerviel’s unauthorized activity. They have questioned broker Moussa Bakir, an employee of Newedge, a joint venture between Societe Generale and Calyon bank, through which Kerviel passed some of his trades.
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